Value of Information in Decision Making under Uncertainty
by
Niyazi Onur Bakir
Texas A&M
Information plays a key role in decision making.
In this talk, we discuss how to quantify information in risky decision problems.
In particular, we frame the decision problem in terms of a simple lottery where
information is a collection of events. We consider two different approaches to
evaluate information: expected utility and buying price of information. We
analyze the relation between two, and determine the conditions for preference
reversals. The relation between the risk tolerance of the decision maker and the
value of information is analyzed. We provide the conditions where a monotonic
relation holds between the degree of risk aversion and the value of information.
As an example the impact of different information alternatives on insurance
decisions is analyzed.