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EDUCATION
D.Phil., Economics, Oxford
University, 1992
M.A., Economics, Middle East Technical
University, 1984
B.A.,The Institute of Public Administration
of Turkey and The Middle East (TODAIE), 1979.
FIELDS
OF SPECIALIZATION
Econometrics, Time Series Analysis,
Monetary Economics, Financial Institutions and Markets,
Probability and Statistics
SELECTED PUBLICATIONS
•
“Relationship Between Financial Crisis and Foreign Direct
Investment in Developing Countries Using Semiparametric
Regression Approach”, M. Ucal, M. H. Bilgin and J. Mungo,
Journal
of Business Economics and Management,
Vol. 11, No. 1, 20-3, (2010)
•
“Productivity
and Growth in an Unstable Emerging Market Economy: The Case of
Turkey, 1960-2004”, with M. Ismihan, Emerging
markets Finance and Trade,
Vol 45, No. 5 , pp4-18 (2009)
•
“Factors influencing Relative Price of
Goods and Services Sectors in Turkey: An Econometric Analysis”,
with K. Kalafatcýlar, Ýktisat
Ýþletme ve Finans Dergisi,
(Forthcoming December 2009 issue)
•
“An Alternative Method to Measure the
likelihood of a Financial crisis in an Emerging Market”,
with U. Ozlale, Physica A:
Statistical Mechanics and its Applications,
vol. 381, pp. 329-337 (2007)
•
"Dedollarization In Turkey After Decades
Of Dollarization:A Myth Or Reality”, with V. Us, Physica
A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications,
Volume 385, pp. 292-306 (2007)
•
“Turkish Banking Crisis and the Debt
Restructing Process: Istanbul Approach, Financial
Crisis in Emerging Markets: Capital Flow, Saving, Debt and
Banking Reforms, with K. Þimþek,
pp. 96-129, Net Publishers (2005)
• “Determinants
of Private Savings in the Middle East and North Africa”,
Money and Finance in the Middle East: Missed Opportunities or
Future Prospects?”, with Z.
Özcan, Research in Middle East
Economics, pp. 95-113, Elsevier
(2005)
• K. Metin “The Relationship Between
Inflation and the Budget Deficit in Turkey” in
General-To-Specific Modelling Vol II , Edited by J.
Campos, N.R. Ericsson and D.F. Hendry, The International Library
of Critical Writings in Econometrics 11, pp. 611-622 Edward Elgar
Publishing,Ltd, 2005 (reprint of JBES(1998) article)
• A.
Gunay, K. Metin Ozcan and E. Yeldan “Real wages, Profit
Margins and Inflation in Turkish Manufacturing Under Post
Liberalization”, Applied Economics, Vol. 37,
1899-1905, 2005.
• M. Ismihan, K. Metin-Özcan and A.
Tansel “Macroeconomic Instability, capital Accumulation and
Growth: The Case of Turkey 1963-1999”, Applied
Economics, Vol. 37, 239-251, 2005.
• V. Us and K.
Metin-Özcan “Inflation Expectations Under High and
Persistence Inflation: Optimal Univariate Expectations as an
Alternative” Physica A,Vol. 346, ýssues 3-4, pp.
499-517, February 2005.
• O. T. Aydas, K. Metin-Ozcan and
B. Neyapti “Determinants of Workers Remittances: The Case
of Turkey” Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Vol.
41, 53-69, 2005.
• S. Aydýn and K. Metin-Özcan “Faiz
Oranlari Oynakliginin Modellenmesinde Ardisik Baglanimli Kosullu
Degisen Varyans Yaklasimlarinin Karsilastirilarak
Degerlendirilmesi. (An Empirical Comparison of Alternative
Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Models of the
Volatility of Interest Rates.” METU Studies in
Development, Vol. 32, 1-20, 2005.
• S. Aydýn and K.
Metin-Özcan “Dibs Faiz Oranlarindaki Oynaklýðýn
Koþullu Deðiþen Varyans Modeli ile Tahmini ve Öngörülmesi
(Estimation of DIBS Ýnterest Rates Using Conditional
Heteroskedasticity Models and Volatility Forecasting)”
Ýþletme ve Finans, Vol. 20, No. 230, pp.83-95, May 2005.
•
V. Us and K. Metin-Özcan “Modeling the
Persistence of Currency Substitution in the Turkish Economy”
Yapi Kredi Economic Review, Vol 16, Vol. 16,pp.3-16
2005.
• K. Metin-Özcan and K. Þimþek, “
Turkish Banking Crisis and the Debt Restructuring Process:
Istanbul Approach” in Emerging Markets in Financial
Crisis: Capital Flows, savings, Debt and Banking Reform,
(Edited by Þaziye Gazioðlu). pp.96-129, Aberdeen: J-Net
Publishers, 2005.
• K. Metin_Özcan and Y.Z. Özcan,
“ Determinants of Private Savings in the Middle East and
North Africa” in Money and Finance in the Middle east:
Missed Opportunities or Future Prospects?, (Edited by Simon
Naime and Nora Ann Colton). Research in Middle East Economics,
Vol. 6, pp. 95-117, Amsterdam and Oxford: Elsevier, 2005. K.
Metin-Özcan, H. Berument and B. Neyapti “Dynamics of
Inflation and Inflation Inertia in Turkey” Journal of
Economic Cooperation, vol.25, no: 3, 63-86, 2004K.
Metin-Ozcan, A. Gunay, S. Ertac,"Determinants of Private
Savings Behaviour in Turkey," Applied Economics,
vol. 35, pp. 1405-1416 (2003)
• Yilmaz Akdi, K.
Metin-Özcan and Yeliz Yalçin “Robustness of
Unit Root Tests When the Series are I(2)” METU Studies
in Development,Vol.30, 1,19-34, 2003.
• K.
Metin-Özcan and Y.Z.Özcan “Measuring Poverty
and Inequality in Turkey, 2001”, Topics in Middle Eastern
and North African Economies, electronic journal, Volume 5, Middle
East Economic Association and Loyola University Chicago,
September, 2003. http://www.luc.edu/publications/academic/
•
Y.Z. Ozcan, K. Metin-Ozcan, S. Ucdogruk "Wage
differences by gender, wage and self employment in Urban Turkey:
The case of Istanbul," Journal of Economic
Cooperation, vol. 24, pp. 1-24, 2003.
•
K. Metin-Özcan, E. Voyvoda and E. Yeldan “The Impact
of the Liberalization Program on the Price-Cost Margin and
Investment of Turkey's Manufacturing Sector After 1980"
Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Vol. 38, no.5, 71-101,
2002.
• Y.Z. Özcan and K. Metin-Özcan
"Determinants of Youth Smoking: Evidence from Turkey",
Substance Use and Misuse, Vol. 37, (3), 313-336, 2002
•
K. Metin and H. Kara "Forecasting the Turkish Private Sector
Manufacturing Price index", Yapi Kredi Economic Review,
Vol.12. 1, 43-58, 2001,
• K. Metin-Özcan, E.
Voyvoda and E. Yeldan "Dynamics of Macroeconomic Adjustment
in A Globalized Developing Economy: Growth, Accumulation and
Distribution", Canadian Journal of Development Studies,
XXII, 1, 219-253, 2001.
• K. Metin and G. Muradoglu
"Forecasting Integrated Regional Stock Markets Using
International Co-movements", Russian and East European
Finance and Trade, Vol.37, no.5, 45-63, 2001.
• G.
Muradoglu, K. Metin and Argaç, R "Is There a Long Run
Relationship between Stock Returns and Monetary Variables:
Evidence from an Emerging Market " Applied Financial
Economics, vol.11, 641-649, 2001.
• K. Metin and G.
Muradoglu "A Note on Forecasting Stock Prices by Using
Alternative Time Series Models" ISE Review, 4, 17-25,
2000.
• G. Muradoglu, H. Berument and K. Metin
"Financial Crisis and Changes in the Determinants of Risk
and Return: An Empirical Investigation of an Emerging Market"
Multinational Finance Journal, 3, 223-252, 1999.
•
K. Metin and I. Muslu "Money Demand, The Cagan Model,
Testing Rational Expectations vs Adaptive Expectations: The Case
of Turkey" Empirical Economics, 24, 415-426, 1999.
•
K. Metin "The Relationship between Inflation and the Budget
Deficit in Turkey", Journal of Business and Economic
Statistics, 16, 412-422, 1998.
• K. Metin, G.
Muradoglu and B. Yazici "An Analysis of the Day of the Week
Effect on the Istanbul Stock Exchange," ISE Review,
Vol. 1, 15-25,1997
• G. Muradoglu, and K. Metin
"Efficiency of the Turkish Stock Exchange with Respect to
Monetary Variables: A Cointegration Analysis", European
Journal of Operational Research, 90, 566-576, 1996.
•
K.Metin "An Integrated Analysis of Turkish Inflation",
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 57, 513-531,
1995.
• K. Metin "Modeling the Demand for Narrow
Money in Turkey, METU Studies in Development Vol.2l, No:2,
1994,
• G. Muradoglu and K. Metin "Inflation and
Stock Market: A Cointegration Analysis", Boðaziçi
University Journal, Vol. 9, No.2, 207-216, 1994.
PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE:
Associate
Professor, Bilkent University, Dept. of Economics, 01/2002-
present
Assistant Professor, Bilkent University, Dept. of
Economics, 09/92-01/2002
Teaching Assistant, Gazi University,
Dept. of Econometrics 81-88
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