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Instructor: Professor Orhan
Guvenen
gorhan@bilkent.edu.tr
www.dsee.bilkent.edu.tr
Tel
: 0 312 290 1660
0 312 290 2496
Fax : 0 312 290 4383
Class
Hours: Tuesday
16:40-19:30, T 173 (FEASS) (starting February 2, 2010)
Office
Hours: Tuesday 14:30-16:30
Course outline:
1.
European Union integration, 21st century dynamics, technologies, globalization,
regionalism and nation states
Güvenen, O., (2006), “Economic Interactions Between
The European Union and Turkey:
Some Comments and Anticipations On: 2005-2015-2025 Dynamics and
Strategies”, Revista Cidob d’afers Internacionales, Noviembre 2006,
Barcelona
(The text is in Spanish, in my web side you can find the English
version).
Wiener,
A., T. Diez, (2004), European Integration Theory, Oxford
University Press, Oxford, ISBN
0-19-925248-3
Stiglitz,
J. E., (2006), Making Globalization Work, The Next Step to Global
Justice, W. W. Norton & Company, USA, (ISBN
13-978-0-713-99909-9).
Baldwin,
R., C. Wyplosz, (2004), The Economics of European Integration, McGraw
Hill, London,
(ISBN 0-077-103947).
Meadows,
D., J. Randers, D. Meadows, (2004), Limits to Growth, Chelsia Green
Publishing Co., White River Junction,
USA,
(ISBN 1-931498-51-2)
Forrester,
J. W., (1973) World Dynamics, 2nd Edition., Wright-Allen Press
Inc., Cambridge, Massachusetts.
OECD,
(2006), OECD Science, Technology and Industry Outlook, Paris, (ISBN 92-64-02848-X).
OECD,
(1997), The World in 2020, OECD, Paris, (ISBN 92-64-15627-5).
IFRI,
(2006), Ramses 2007, L’Europe et le monde, Dunod, Paris, (ISBN 2 10
050245 X).
Rodrik, D., (1999), The New Global Economy and Developing Countries:
Making Openness Work, Johns Hopkins University
Press, Washington,
(ISBN 1-56517-027-X).
Güvenen, O., (2009),
"World Dynamics, Perspectives on Energy and Environment" ,
Statistics, Science and Public Policy, Volume XIV, Queen’s
University, Ontario
(forthcoming).
Güvenen. O., (2006), “2023
Dünya Dinamikleri ve Türkiye Stratejileri: TC 2023/9”, Dünya Sistemleri
ve Ekonomileri ve Stratejik Araştırmalar Enstitüsü,
Bilkent Universitesi, Ankara
Güvenen, O., (2009), “Bilkent Üniversitesi, “Dünya Sistemleri,
Ekonomileri ve Stratejik Araştırmalar Enstitüsü“ (DSEE) ve
Stratejik Öngörü, Bilimlerarası Metodoloji ve Karar Sistemleri
Kapsamında Bazı Yorumlar“, Türkiye’de Stratejik Düşünce
Kültürü ve Stratejik Araştırma Merkezleri :
Başlangıcından Bugüne Türk Düşünce
Kuruluşları, Ed. : H. Kanbolat, H.A. Karasar, Nobel Kitap,
ISBN : 978-605-395-187-2, pp.281-290, Ankara.
Güvenen, O.,
(2005), "ICT: An Exponential Productivity Growth Factor", Institute of World
Systems, Economies, and Strategic Research, Bilkent University, Ankara.
Güvenen, O., (2003), “Some
Comments on the Decision-Making Structures, Accountability,
Globalization and the Limits to Growth”,
in Proceedings of the Conference on Statistics, Science and Public
Policy, Ed. A.M. Herzberg and R.W. Oldford, Chapter 4, Queen’s
University, Ontario, (ISBN 1-55339-027-X).
Güvenen,
O., S.Babür, (2003), "Information Systems for Strategic Planning and
its Socioeconomic Impacts", in 7th World Conference on Systemics,
Cybernetics and Informatics Proceedings, International Institute of
Systems Analysis and Cybernetics, Orlando, USA, (ISBN 980-6560-01-9).
Güvenen,
O., (2002), “Structures décisionnelles, les téchnologies, la
mondialisation, l'éducation et la société du savoir”, Les mémoires et
les Savoirs, Rencontres de Versailles, Paris.
2.
The role and limits of scientific methodology on strategic thinking,
analysis, science and innovation
2.1. Some comments on the scientific methodology
2.2. Scientific methodology in natural and social sciences and
humanities
2.3. Comments on the quantification techniques, mathematical
complexity, econometrics, statistics, and social sciences
2.4. Transdisciplinary methodology in sciences
2.5. Science and Innovation
ARIELY, Dan., (2008),
Predictably Irrational, Harper and Collins Publishers, New York, (ISBN 978-0-06-135323-3).
Popper, K. R., (1980), The
Logic of Scientific Discovery, Hutchinson,
London,
(ISBN 0-09-111721-6).
İnönü, Erdal, (2003),
Bilimsel Devrim ve Stratejik Anlamı, Türkiye Bilimler Akademisi,
Ankara.
Montbrial, Thierry de, (2002),
L'action et le système du monde, PUF, Paris, (22417024/02/02).
Bulutay, T., (1986), Bilimin
Niteliği Üzerine Denemeler- Evrim ve Quantum Kuramları,
Mülkiyeliler Birliği Vakfı Yayınları, Ankara.
Güvenen, O., (2008) “Economic
Prosperity in Intraction with Science, Knowledge and Value Systems in
Statistics, Science and Public Policy”, Queen’s University, Ontario,
Canada
(forthcoming)
Güvenen,
O., (2000), “The Interaction Between Econometrics, Information Systems
and Statistical Infrastructures: Anticipation and Comparative Analysis in
a Decisional Sructure”, Journal of the Turkish Statistical Association,
Volume: 3, Sayı: 1-2, 2000, pp.47-57, Ankara, (ISSN 1300-4077).
Güvenen, O., (2003), "Bilim
Metodolojisi, İstatistik ve Karar Süreçleri", 3.
İstatistik Kongresi Bildiriler Kitabı, Türk İstatistik
Derneği ve İstatistik Mezunları Derneği, Ankara.
Güvenen,
O., (2008), Bilkent Üniversitesi, “Dünya Sistemleri ve Stratejik
Araştırmalar Enstitüsü” (DSEE) ve Stratejik Öngörü,
Bilimlerarası Metodoloji ve Karar Sistemleri Kapsamında
bazı yorumlar; Türkiye’de Stratejik Düşünce Kültürü ve
Stratejik Araştırma Merkezleri: Başlangıcından
Bugüne Türk Düşünce Kuruluşları, ss:281-290, Editörler:
Kanbolat, H.,H.A. Karasar, Nobel Yayınları, İstanbul, ISBN:
978-605-395-187-2
3.
European Union treaties, law, institutions and Lizbon Treaty
3.1. European treaties
3.2. European law and finances
3.3. The structure and functions of European Institutions
3.4. Lizbon Treaty
Peterson,
J., Michael S.(ed), (2006), “The Institutions of the European Union”,
Oxford University Press, Oxford (ISBN 0-190927900-4 97801-9927-9005)
Moussis
N., (2001), Access to European Union Law, Economics, Policies, European
Study Service BP-29-B1330, Roxensart, (ISBN 2-930119-26-8).
Barbé,
E. and A. Herranz (Eds.), “The role of Parliaments in European foreign
Policy”, Parlament Europeu Oficina a Barcelona, (ISBN 9 789282 3194551).
4.
European Union Economic and Political integration stages
4.1. Customs Union
4.2. Common market
4.3. Economic and Monetary Union
4.4. Towards a political union
European
Commission, (2007), Corporate Social Responsibility, National Public
Policies in the European Union, Luxembourg, ISBN : 978-92-79-07614-5
EU
integration seen through statistics: key facts of 18 policy areas/
European Commission (2006), Office for Official Publications, Luxembourg
Baldwin, R.,
C. Wyplosz, (2004), The Economics of European Integration, McGraw Hill, London, (ISBN
0-077-103947).
Moussis, N., (2001), Access to
European Union Law, Economics, Policies.
Artis, M., Nixson, F., (2001),
The Economics of the European Union- Policy and Analysis, Oxford
University Press, Oxford, (ISBN 975-05-0138-1).
Hidalgo, D.,(1998), Europe
Globalization and Monetary Union, Siddhart Mehta Ediciones, Madrid, (ISBN
84-86830-28-1).
5. European Union monetary integration and
horizontal policies
5.1. The European Monetary Union
5.2. Fiscal convergence and discipline in Monetary Union
5.3. The financial markets and the Euro
5.4. Taxation policy, competition policy
5.5. Economic integration and labor market institutions
5.6. Environment policy, regional development policy
Economic and monetary union:
legal and political texts (2007), Office for Official Publications,
Luxembourg, (ISBN 92-824-3259-9 97892-8243-2594).
Baldwin, R., C. Wyplosz, (2004),
The Economics of European Integration, McGraw Hill, London, (ISBN
0-077-103947).
Moussis, N.,
(2001), Access to European Union Law, Economics, Policies.
OECD, (2000),The European
Union's Trade Policies and their Economic Effects, OECD, Paris, (ISBN 92-64-18536-4).
European Commission, (2007),
Investing in Our Common Future, The Budget of the European Union, Luxembourg,
ISBN:92-79-02842-1
6. European Union sectoral policies
6.1. Industrial and enterprise policies
6.2. Research, technology and innovation policies
6.3. Common transport policy
6.4. Common agricultural and fisheries policies
6.5. European Union Energy Policies
6.6. Market integration
Eurostat, (2008), Science,
Technology and Innovation in Europe, Luxembourg, ISBN : 978-92-79-0842-5
Growing regions, growing
Europe: fourth report on economic and social cohesion (2007), Office for
Official Publications of the European Communities, Luxembourg,
(97892-7905-7045 92-79-05704-9)
Bogdanowicz,M., (2005),
Information society developments and policies toward 2010 in an
enşarged Europe. European Commission. Directorate - General
(Luxembourg).
The common agricultural policy
(2005), Office for Official Publication, Luxembourg, (ISBN
928-94-8235-4).
European electricity projects,
2002-2006 (2007), European Commission, Directorate General for Research,
Information and Communication Unit, Brussels, (ISBN 97892-7903-7252).
Baldwin, R., C. Wyplosz,
(2004), The Economics of European Integration, McGraw Hill, London, (ISBN
0-077-103947).
Moussis, N., (2001), Access to
European Union Law, Economics, Policies.
7. European
Union external policies
7.1. Common commercial policy
7.2. Development aid policy
7.3. European Union
external relations and diplomacy
Information
society and research: linking European policies (2006), Office for
Official Publications of the European Communities, Luxembourg, (ISBN
92-79-02635-6 97892-7902-6355)
Moussis,
N., (2001), Access to European Union Law, Economics, Policies.
Güvenen,O.,(2005),
List of publications
8. Enlargement of the European Union
European Commission,
(2007), Understanding Enlargement, The European Union’s Enlargement
Policy, Luxembourg, ISBN :978-92-79-06636-8
EU Enlargement: 20 myths
and facts about enlargement (2006), Office for Officials Publications of
the European Communities, Luxembourg, (ISBN 92-79-02131-1
97892-7902-1312)
European Commission,
(2003), Enlargement of the European Union, Brussels, (ISBN 92-
894-5601-9).
Kavalali, M., (2005),
Avrupa Birligi’nin genisleme süreci: AB’nin merkezi dogu Avrupa, DPT,
Ankara.
9. The
structure of the Turkish economy and the dynamics of technological and
socio-economic development, the impacts of Customs Union and EU
policies on the Turkish Economy.
OECD,
(2008), Economic Surveys, Turkey,
OECD, Paris, (ISBN 92-64-02916-8).
Independent
Commission on Turkey,
(2004), Turkey in
Europe: More than a promise?, Report of the Independent Commission on Turkey,
The British Council Brussels, Belgium.
Derviş
K., M. Emerson, D. Gros, S. Ülgen, (2004), The European Transformation of
Modern Turkey, Centre
for European Policy Studies, Brussels,
(ISBN 92-9079-521-0).
Köse,
A., H., Şenses, F., Yeldan, E., (2003), İktisadi Kalkınma,
Kriz ve İstikrar, İletişim Yayınları,
İstanbul, (ISBN 975-05-0138-1).
Rocard,
M., (2008), Oui à la Turquie, Hachette, Paris, ISBN 978-2-01-237625-0
Güvenen, O., (1999), Türkiye’nin Orta ve Uzun Dönem
Stratejik Hedefleri: TC 2007-15/ TC 2017-, Devlet Planlama
Teşkilatı Yayınları, Ankara, (ISBN 975-19-2237-2).
Güvenen, O., (2007), “Türkiye, Dünya ve AB Etkileşimi”,
Ekonomik Bütünleşme Teorileri ve Avrupa Birliği-Türkiye Üzerine
Söyleşiler, Ed.: Ş. Özkan, Ö.S. Emsen , Turhan Kitabevi, ISBN
978-975-6194-97-3, s. 90-114 , Ankara.
10. A comparative
analysis of 27 EU economies, OECD economies and the world economy
OECD, (2009), OECD Economic Outlook, December
2009, Paris
OECD (2009), Economic Survey of the European Union, 2009, Paris
Eurostat,
(2007), Statistical Portrait of the European Union 2008, Luxembourg, ISBN
: 978-92-79-06600-9
Dehesa,
Guillerma de la, (2006), “Europe at the Crossroads”, McGraw-Hill, New
York (ISBN 0-07-145959-6).
Maddison,
A., (2003), The World Economy, Historical Statistics, OECD, Paris, (ISBN
92-64-10412-7).
International
Energy Agency/OECD, (2005), World Energy Outlook, Paris.
(ISBN92-64-10949-B).s
Artis,
M., Nixson, F., (2001), The Economics of the European Union- Policy and
Analysis, Oxford University Press, Oxford, (ISBN 975-05-0138-1).
Krugman
P. R., M. Obstfeld, (2003), International Economics: Theory and Policy,
Pearson Education, Inc., Boston, (ISBN 0-321-11639-9).
OECD,
(2007), OECD Economic Surveys for EU Countries.
OECD,
(2007), OECD Economic Outlook 2007/2 No 82
December, OECD, Paris, (ISBN 92-64-041621).
OECD,
(2001), The Well-being of Nations- The Role of Human and Social Capital,
OECD, Paris, (ISBN 92-64-18589-5).
International
Monetary Fund, 2006, Annual Report, Washington.
Frankel,
J. A., (1997), Regional Trading Blocks in the World Economic System,
Institue for International Economics, Washington, (ISBN 0-88132-202-4).
11. A
transdisciplinary and ancipative analysis of Turkey and European
Union integration process in the world context, global
consciousness and space - time dynamics
Grachev,
A., C. Marchese, 2008, From Global Warning to Global Policy, (see p :86,
125, 131 by O. Güvenen), The World Political Forum, Torino, ISBN
978-88-317-9704
Togan,
S.,(2005), Turkey:Economic reform and accession to the European Union
World Bank, Washington, (ISBN 0-82135-932-0).
Working
for peace, security and stability: Europe in the world (2007), Office for
Official Publications of the European Community, Luxembourg,
(92-79-03859-1 97892-7903-8594)
İktisadi
Kalkınma Vakfı, (2005), Avrupa Birliği
müktesebatının uygulanışının Türk iş
dünyasına etkileri, İktisadi Kalkınma
Vakfı,İstanbul.
Cem,
İ., (2005), Avrupanın “Birliği” ve Türkiye, İstanbul
Bilgi Üniversitesi Yayınları, İstanbul, (ISBN
975-6176-27-X).
Ülgen,
S., (2005), AB ile Müzakerelerin El Kitabı, İstanbul Bilgi
Üniversitesi, İstanbul, (ISBN 975 - 6176- 96 - 9).
IKV,
(2005) “Avrupa Birliği ile Katılım Müzakereleri Rehberi”,
IKV, İstanbul.
OECD,
(2002), OECD Reviews of Regulatory Reform-Turkey: Crucial Support for
Economic Recovery, OECD, Paris, (ISBN 92-64-19808-3).
OECD,
(2006), OECD Economic Survey of Turkey, OECD, Paris (ISBN 92-64-02916-8).
OECD,
(2005), Space 2030 - Tackling Society’s Challenges, Paris, (ISBN
92-64-00832-2).
Güvenen,
O., (2003), “Türkiye 1 Ocak 1981'de 'Avrupa Ekonomik Topluluğu'
Üyesi Olabilir miydi?”, Doğu Batı Düşünce Dergisi,
Ağustos-Eylül-Ekim 2003, pp. 289-294.
Güvenen,
O., (1993), “A Statistical Presentation of the New and Emerging Trends in
Turkish-EU Cooperation: with Specific Reference to Customs Union”, in Patterns
for Growth : New Trends in EC-Turkish Cooperation, Forum
Europe, Brussels.
Güvenen,
O., (1991), “Marching in Stride with the EC: A Statistical Presentation
of the Turkish Case, in Turkey and the European Community”, Forum Europe,
Brussels.
Grading
Policy:
Midterm
examination 20 %
Research
Paper 40 %
Final
examination 40 %
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